autoregressive integrated moving average (arima)

How Does ARIMA Work?

The ARIMA model combines three components:
Autoregressive (AR): Uses the dependency between an observation and a number of lagged observations.
Integrated (I): Represents the differencing of raw observations to make the time series stationary.
Moving Average (MA): Uses the dependency between an observation and a residual error from a moving average model applied to lagged observations.
The model is generally denoted as ARIMA(p,d,q), where p, d, and q are non-negative integers that refer to the order of the AR, I, and MA parts of the model, respectively.

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